Thursday, August 6, 2020

A Surefire Cure for Covid

The anxiety in the US brought about by the Covid-19 virus is dominating this country. There is no clear consensus on the state of the virus, what to do about it or how long it will last. The divisiveness regarding what to do as individuals and organizations (schools, retail businesses, sports, etc) has gotten ugly. The real problem is that except for the hope of a vaccine, which won't be available for many months and which many people wont take anyway, there is no end in sight. Given that there is no clear plan to end this nightmare and 50% of the people don't seem to care anyway, maybe it's time to look at another approach...maybe it's time to let mother nature do her thing.

What would happen if we discouraged, no, make that prohibited the wearing of masks, social distancing, and the constant washing of hands? What if we encouraged mass gatherings; the bigger the crowd the better? The result should be that nearly everyone would contract Covid, that we would have achieved total 'herd immunity' and the virus would disappear within weeks.

But what would be the price?

The present population of the US is 331,000,000 people. We don't know how many of us have the virus, but we do know from the John Hopkins University Resource Center that there are 4,826,861 confirmed cases. According to this site there have been 319,686 Covid hospitalizations, or 6.2% of all confirmed cases. Applying that same percentage to the total population would result in 20,522,000 hospitalizations. There aren't enough medical facilities or personal in the solar system to handle that case load. Those requiring hospitalization would find the doors closed and have to become familiar with new concepts of self-suffering and self-dying.

Based on numbers from the John Hopkins University Resource Center there are 4,826,861 confirmed cases, and 158,300 Covid deaths, resulting in a death percentage of 3.28%. Applying that same percentage to the total population yields 10,856,000 deaths.

So...our medical system would have completely collapsed and there would be 11 million +/- dead Americans. But the virus would be gone and the economy would be on its way to recovery, allowing us to get onto important matters like.......... 

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